Saturday, 10 February 2024

Ranking Reader Feedback (1 to 8) or What Makes a Writer Happy?

 

What Makes a Writer Happy?

(Ranking Reader Feedback, 1 to 9)

My Quora posts just went over 500,000 views recently (Jan 31, 2024). That seems like an accomplishment of sorts, though writing about it feels a bit self-centred (i.e. blowing your own horn). But I don't own a cat or dog, and my son is grown up (waiting on grand-kids, hint, hint, Scott), so funny pet and cute child content is not currently possible. Thus I will brag about this instead.

But in order to make the bragging more palatable, I will write about the various types of feedback that my writing (and my wife’s) have received and give some indication of how they differ. I will rank them, because ranking is fun and people often like that sort of thing. It also helps to frame matters, which helps to develop the content of the essay. So here goes.

Note that this all applies to internet channels for sales and other feedback.

  • 1 – Selling Print Book(s)

I know it is a bit old-fashioned, but there is still something special about selling a print book, via Amazon (or some other on-line business) that is pretty cool. I think it has to do with the idea that someone out there will pay a higher price than you charge for the ebook and that he/she will wait around for your book to arrive in the mail.

On a few occasions, I have had readers get in touch with me, desiring a print copy of an ebook. They might want that because the book will make a nice gift or they might have a collection of books on that subject. My book about military engineers in WW2 fell into that category, as did my book about working one summer on the railroad. In the case of the WW2 book, it turned out that the reader’s uncle was in the same unit (Royal Canadian Engineers, 12 Field Company) as my dad. So, symbolically, it felt a little bit like getting old comrades together.

The fact that someone went to some trouble to get a print copy of your book is flattering and the idea that you are helping some person out in this way is very rewarding.

  • 2 – Selling ebook(s)

This one is great, too. In the Amazon marketplace, we tend to sell a lot more ebooks than print books (about 20 to 1 ratio, I would say). Perhaps that makes it seem a tiny-bit less special than print books, but it still is a great feeling.

There are two possibilities here: the regular ebook and the Kindle Unlimited (KU) read of an ebook.

The latter (KU read) actually lets you see how well your book was received, since you are paid by the page. Most of our books have good completion rates, which is very nice. In some cases, non-completions are understandable. In the case of non-fiction such as a travel book, the reader may have just wanted to get a general sense of a subject or a potential trip, without spending a lot of time on details. With fiction, it may be that it is just not that reader’s thing (i.e. preferred genre or subject matter). Also, for a long novel, such as some of my wife’s, you can make more money than on the royalties for the same book.

In the case of a regular ebook sale, you can be happy with making some money and supplying a reader with an enjoyable few hours (you certainly hope so, anyway).

  • 3 -Running Successful Promotions

Promotions can be giveaways (they can be run for 5 days of every 90 day period) or time-limited price cuts. The former gives you some new readers, as does the latter, along with some money.

If you are lucky, money is not your main reason for writing, so you don’t worry too much about the “missing money”. You are just happy to know someone is (hopefully) enjoying the fruits of your labor. It could well be that the person is on a tight budget, so you feel good about helping out such a person, even in this rather small way. My wife often mentions that.

Every now and again, one of your promotions will go viral. Suddenly you will notice a big uptick in downloads. Over the next few days, that can turn into a flood of downloads, which is rather exciting (e.g. in the 100s, 1000s or more if you are an exceptionally lucky person). You get to see your book on the “Top 100” list for free books, at least in some sub-category. Of course you have to keep your wits about you, and your ego in check. After all, a free promotion is still a free promotion. But it is nice.

There is really no (obvious) rhyme or reason to viral promotions. We have had books go viral, long after they were first published, that have languished up until then. Other times, they have gone viral right away, then languished. Often it isn’t the book that you consider your best writing (stylistically) or your best story (fiction or non-fiction). You think about the cover, or about the title, or about the summary that you wrote for it.

Aha – people like covers that feature water!”

Aha – people like abstract covers with cool fonts!”

Aha – people like short, clever titles!”

Aha – people like long, wordy titles, that telegraph the content of the book!”

Aha – people like short, pithy blurbs and summaries!”

Aha – people like long discursive summaries that explain every chapter!”

But, in reality, these things have a logic all of their own. As a famous Hollywood producer was reported to have said “nobody knows nothing”.

One other thing about promotions worth mentioning, is that they can lead to later sales or later  concurrent KU reads. I have seen this on many occasions. I think of it as a little touch of karma – the universe gives you a small reward for being generous with your books.

  • 4 -Getting Reviews or Reader Ratings

Naturally, every writer likes a nice review or a high rating.

Some people think that most of the reviews are plants or friends, but that isn’t often the case, at least as far as I know. I mean, honestly, who has that many friends? Well, maybe big publishers can get up to these shenanigans, but that’s out-of-scope for most (all?) Indies.

Even a not-so-great review is valuable if it is sincere, and if it is clear that the reader has actually read the book (or at least enough of it to render a valid judgment). For the writer, it can be valuable feedback. For the potential reader, some less-than-stellar reviews will provide reassurance that the reviews are organic and not rigged. And some potential readers may read something like “I don’t like books that feature paranormal events” and think “actually, I love books like that”. You just never know.

Here are a few things that I have learned about reviews and reader ratings:

- you can generally expect one review/rating for every 50 to 100 books sold or downloaded in a promo.  Sometimes more, sometimes less, but this one percentish rule seems to be quite consistent.

- the Goodreads scale and the Amazon scale are a bit different, so bear that in mind when comparing your reviews from these sources.

- writers love to get reviews and reader ratings, so don’t be shy, even if you can’t give a 5-star review in all sincerity.

- a bad review stings for a while, but you get over it.

Social Media

I try to do some blogging or equivalent social media content (as you must know from reading this). It provides an outlet to share ideas, exercise one’s writing muscles and promote one’s “real writing”.

6) Quora

As the beginning of this blog indicates, I post fairly regularly on Quora. This is a social media site run by Google, whereby people ask questions and others answer them. These often tend to be of a somewhat academic nature (informally so), where people can share their knowledge and expertise. Most of my posts are in the area of statistics and data science, since that is my actual profession, or “day job” as writers say, perhaps tongue-in-cheek.

Getting views, comments and upvotes on Quora is a nice lift. It is also nice to think that you are doing some service in the world, by sharing your hard-won knowledge with people who are interested in such things.

In principle, you can make money on Quora, though I doubt that it would amount to much, even with half-a-million views. I don’t mind sharing my knowledge for free. I suspect that’s how most people treat Quora. That said, I might put together some of my best Quora stuff in an ebook at some future time.

It seems like most of the Quora numbers are legit (not bots), though I can’t be sure of that. However, I am suspicious that the big companies (such as Google) are mining Quora for content to feed their voracious Large Language Models (AI like ChatGPT).

7) Blogger

A blogging site gives one a chance to just ramble away on any subject (like I am doing now) and to promote books (like I will do at the end of the blog). Blogger is pretty old now; Substack is more cutting edge. Maybe some day I will try that. But I am used to Blogger, so I suppose that I will stick with it, as long as it’s around.

Like Quora, you can make money posting on Blogger (in theory, i.e. advertising). I suspect that it would be pennies per year, so I don’t see any point in doing so (ok, maybe dimes).

Blogger stats can be rather dubious. I am not sure about recent years, but in the past bots could be a real problem. The 1000 readers that you thought you had last week, might mostly have been the result of an overactive bot or two. Having said all that, it is still nice to see your Blogger views stats go up. You just have to take it with a grain of salt.

Does blogging drive book sales? Maybe marginally, but it is way oversold by social media mavens as a way to sell books (“you must have a blog with rich content, comrade!”). I have occasionally had a blog that had a lot of reads that also ticked up sales of a book that I featured at the end of the blog. But we are talking 1 book for every 1000 blog reads, or ratios like that. So, basically one just blogs for love of writing.

Also like Quora, I suspect the LLMs (large language models) scour blogger and the like for content. So, while you may not be making money for yourself, you might be making money for Google. Hmmmm.

8) Facebook

Facebook is mostly good for family stuff, in my experience. Dogs, cats, children – maybe we should reverse the order.

There are Facebook pages for businesses. We have a Dodecahedron Books Facebook page, but I don’t use it as much as perhaps I should. Unfortunately, in my opinion, the Facebook business page user interface has become such a dog’s breakfast that it is difficult to navigate. Which is too bad, because readers have sometimes contacted me via that route. So, I do try to keep active, at least for their sake, but it is hard.

The regular Facebook user interface is somewhat better than that of the business pages. But, even they have become so plugged-up with “sponsored content” and the like, that it is rather discouraging. But, I check in, when I can, and will try to keep doing so. The fact that you can keep in touch with family, friends and ex-workmates from across the country, is rather charming.

X, formerly known as Twitter

Well, you can blast Twitter posts advertising your books. Maybe they do some good – I’m not sure. If so, the effect is, shall we say, rather limited. But, hope springs eternal.

But X is still good for a laugh, as long as you don’t sink too much time into it, and you don’t take it very seriously.



******************************************************************

As promised above, here are some book plugs:

Kati of Terra Book 1 – Escape from the Drowned Planet

Amazon U.S: http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00811WVXO

Amazon U.K.: http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/B00811WVXO

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B00811WVXO

In saving her small son from alien abductors, a 24-year-old Earth woman, Katie, finds herself abducted instead. She awakens from a drug-induced coma on a spaceship, in a room full of children, both human and alien, and two other women, younger than she is. The young women adapt to the situation as best they can, keeping the youngsters calm and entertained. But, when a drugged alien man wearing a uniform is added to the captive cargo, it becomes clear that this is an intergalactic slave operation.

The slave traders implant their captives with “translation nodes” in order to allow communication among various groups. These are living entities, normally docile, merely enhancing certain brain functions, such as language acquisition. However, Katie discovers that she has accidentally received a very special “granda node”, a long-lived node with its own cantankerous personality, including a fondness for criminality and lethal weaponry. Fortunately for Katie, it also values its freedom. With its help, she escapes on a fringe planet, dragging the peace officer along—also at the granda’s suggestion.

She finds herself on a strange world, with a somewhat deranged personality, quite possibly a killer, in her head, and partnered with a man from an advanced civilization who abhors killing. He is a Federation Peace Officer, captured by the slavers while attempting to bring them to justice. His task is complicated by the fact that he has sworn to avoid the taking of sentient life during the performance of his duties. He can and does, however, make vigorous use of non-lethal weaponry. Since, before leaving the ship, Katie had promised to help her co-captives gain their liberty, she and the alien peace officer find that they have a common cause.

But first they must find their way off the primitive planet and get to the Federated Civilization, avoiding the slavers who have been left on the planet to re-capture them. Their flight is complicated by the fact that the planet has had a global warming catastrophe some centuries back – the locals refer to it as the Drowned World. This has forced the inhabitants to revert to a pre-industrial state of development; however, they are a wily and resourceful people, mostly helpful, but they can also be dangerous.

Kati (to mark her escape, she adopts a slight name change) and Mikal seek a Federation beacon, which had been hidden on this planet ages ago, to aid in situations such as this, (in accord with a longstanding Federation policy for fringe worlds). They must embark on an arduous trek across two continents and an ocean, seeking the temple that holds the beacon. They travel on foot, by cart, by riverboat, by tall sailing ship, and on pack animals, always pursued by the dangerous slavers.

They must rely on their wits, guile, charm and acting abilities to avoid recapture, while their chasers have advanced technology and ruthlessness on their side. Fortunately, they are able to make many friends who help them along the way, and their quest becomes a series of adventures, both frightening and funny, and involving a cast of engaging characters.

To complicate matters, Kati finds herself falling in love with Mikal, the strange, handsome and amusing alien. He seems to be reciprocating, though they both struggle against an untimely romantic entanglement.

Will Kati and Mikal escape from the Drowned Planet? Can they ultimately bring the slavers to justice, as Mikal has sworn to do? Can they free the remaining captives of the slavers, as Kati has promised to do? Read this book and the rest of the series to find out all.

At about 200,000 words (equivalent to a paperback of about 400 pages), the book is an excellent value.



The Sappers' War: 12th Field Company Royal Canadian Engineers, Oct 1943 to Sept 1945



What follows is a review of the history of the 12th Field Company, Royal Canadian Engineers, primarily relating to the time that the company was in the Italian and Northwestern European theatres during World War II. Though the book focuses on the experiences of a particular company of Canadian military engineers, it also discusses some of the wider issues of the second world war and how it affected the people who lived through the era, civilian and military. Among those are my father (a sapper or military engineer) and mother (a war worker in wartime Britain and ultimately a war bride).

Thus, this is meant to be an informal and unofficial history of the company, written by an interested party in an effort to understand what these men went through during this period, and how that experience affected them and other people who lived through the war. The military aspects of the company's history are there (e.g. fighting, building bridges, detecting mines, maintaining routes), as are the cultural factors that influenced them and their times (e.g. the movies that they watched, the drinking they did, the many diseases they faced, their interactions with the Italian, British and other civilians that they lived among, their worries for the future). Some focus on life on the British home front is also given, via the experiences of my mother and her family.

Since many people had family and relations that lived during this time, it is my hope that the account will be of general interest to them, and to any that have a particular interest in this critical interval in history. Also, though the text relates specifically to Canadian sappers, I believe that many of the experiences will be common to the soldiers and loved ones of other nations who lived through the war, especially Americans and those from Britain and the British Commonwealth.

The primary sources of this document are the 12th Field Company War Diaries and related orders, with some material from The History of the Corps of Royal Canadian Engineers, Volume 2 as well as various official histories by the Department of National Defence. Various other published sources are used as well, especially when discussing the wider issues of the war or the army experience (e.g. Churchill’s history of the war) , or conversely when relating very specific episodes of the war (e.g. Popski’s Private Army in late 1944). Personal accounts of my father’s or mother’s stories also augment the narrative. I have tried to fit those in during appropriate time periods, though some stories are more general and have therefore don’t necessarily relate to the time period being discussed. Nonetheless, they do help capture the essence of “being there” during the war years.

The War Diary is a day by day account of the primary activities of a given unit, as recorded by personnel in the headquarters staff of that unit, and signed off by the commander of the unit. As such, it is an official record, though the writers often brought a bit of their own character into the document. Naturally, as a relatively brief document it can’t hope to capture the complexity of the individual stories of 280 or so men, so the family lore generally has no corresponding entry in the War Diary, though there are sometimes tantalizing hints and near-verifications of these personal accounts.

There are a number of other sources for the book, from official histories to popular history books. I include quotations and references from these works (an eclectic mix), as I believe that they also shed light on different aspects of this period of time, and besides that, are just interesting accounts, in and of themselves.


U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

A Summer Working on the Railroad


What follows is an account of a few weeks one long-ago summer, when I was 19 and was working for the Canadian National Railway (CNR) on a railroad construction gang, in the wilds of north-central British Columbia, Canada.

The journal is in the form of a letter, that was never sent. Decades later, I think it has an interesting historical resonance. At times I come off like a callow youth – I plead guilty as charged. I swore a lot more in those days than I do now, but in places the writing is surprisingly good, at least in my humble opinion. And the story has a compelling narrative arc.

There were a lot of interesting and dramatic events that occurred – a number of industrial accidents being the most serious. There were also some colorful characters on the crew, which resulted in some dramatic and at times amusing conflicts and altercations. I perhaps flatter myself by including myself in that number. Or perhaps I condemn myself – I’m not sure.

So, if you want to be reminded of one of those summer jobs that was kind of life-changing, read on. My story may just kick-start some memories of your own.

The memoir/journal is about 9,000 words, a length that can usually be read in an hour or so. It is priced at 99 cents U.S. (equivalent in other currencies) and is free on Kindle Unlimited. Periodically, it will be offered as a free promotion.

U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CN661P8Z

UK: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B0CN661P8Z

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B0CN661P8Z

France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B0CN661P8Z



Three Love Stories


Here are three stories, all dealing with the theme of romantic love. They encompass the feelings we all recognize from our experiences of love: lust and desire, jealousy and betrayal, confusion and certainty, forgiveness and reconciliation, loss and rebirth. They even suggest that love might get a little help from those mysterious realms beyond our normal, everyday life. Love is, after all, one of the most magical of all transformations that we mortals can undergo.

Three Love Stories
Amazon U.S.:
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Germany:

https://www.amazon.de/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B01BLVSZ2G


It should be noted that these three stories have been previously published, but we wanted to bundle them together, for a number of reasons.

  • Firstly, they are thematically connected - they all concern the joys, pains and triumphs of romantic love.

  • Secondly, the first two stories are connected by plot and character - Love at the Lake: Part 2 (published separately as “A Mid-Summer Morning’s Dream at the Lake”) tells the story of what happens later to the characters embroiled in the jealousy and betrayal of Love at the Lake: Part 1. Characters can sometimes take on a life of their own, and insist that the writer tell their whole story - that’s just what happened here. Love and Rebirth on the Prairie follows different characters, but they too are searching for love within the complexities of family drama with a history of (possible) betrayal.

  • And finally, this bundling gives us a way to package the stories in a more economical and convenient form for our valued readers - three stories for one low price. In the future, we hope to add even more to this collection of love stories!

Tuesday, 23 January 2024

Doggy in the Cold

 Doggy in the Cold

The part of the continent that I live in can get pretty cold. During a recent January cold snap, the temperature hit -40 overnight (Celsius or Fahrenheit, its all the same at that temperature).

Anyway, I went out for a walk one brilliantly sunny afternoon, while it was still about -32 Celsius, and was strolling down an alley when I heard the ominous “grrrr”. I turned to my right to see a fairly small but truculent white dog (some sort of terrier I think) heading for me, with great enthusiasm. He had short legs, so as he hit the snow near the end of his yard, he began to be high-centered.

Then, he slowed down and gave up. His expression quickly changed from “Stay out, I’m guarding my territory” to “Ah, this is crazy, the hell with it”. I think he suddenly realized how cold it was, too. I saluted him, saying “Nice try, buddy, you did your best.”

I’m pretty sure that his owner had only let him out of the house for a few moments, for obvious reasons, as I could hear a door opening and closing a minute or two later, as I continued my winter walk.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

If you like stories that feature amusing dogs (and who doesn’t) you might try this Science Fiction short story:

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

 The Zoo Hypothesis


We present a story giving a possible scenario for the so-called Zoo Hypothesis, an explanation known in Star Trek lore as the Prime Directive. It’s an explanation sometimes given to account for a mystery in the Search for Intelligent Life, known as The Great Silence, or Fermi’s Paradox.

Basically, Enrico Fermi argued (quite convincingly, to many observers), that there had been ample time for an alien intelligence to colonize the galaxy since its formation, so where are they? The Zoo Hypotheses says that they are out there, but have cordoned off the Earth from contact, until we are sufficiently evolved or culturally advanced to handle the impact of alien contact.

This story takes a humorous tongue in cheek approach to that explanation. It also features dogs and sly references to Star Trek. Talk about man’s Best Friend.

It is only 99 cents U.S., equivalent price in other currencies. It is also available on Kindle Unlimited and is sometimes on a free promotion.

Amazon U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B076RR1PGD

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B076RR1PGD



 

Wednesday, 27 December 2023

A Neighborhood Cat Christmas Story

A Neighborhood Cat Christmas Story

Over the years we have had a number of neighborhood cats visit our house. These mystery creatures seem to belong to someone – they generally look well-fed (but not too well-fed) and healthy. The current version of neighborhood cat is your standard sort of orange-brown tabby cat, not a kitten, but probably not all that old, either. I don’t know if it is male or female, though I would guess female.

Anyway, I had just strung some extra Christmas lights around the back door earlier that day and had invited my wife Helena to have a look, as a bit of a surprise. We stepped out the door and she was quite excited about the Christmas lights. It was dark, otherwise, and her eyesight isn’t that great in the dark, so I helped her to step down to the deck, which is right beside the back porch, for a better look,.

Suddenly neighborhood cat shot out from under the table on the deck. It is usually very skittish and not too keen to be petted, though it will occasionally permit it. But this time, rather than bolting, it hung around to watch us, then came back when I called it and deigned to be petted. It then did several turns around our legs, rubbing and purring like cats do, and being surprisingly friendly. Perhaps the Christmas lights put it into a convivial mood and it wanted to share its pleasure at the sight – one of those minor Christmas miracles that people sometimes notice.

I was tempted to invite it into the house. It was a warm night for December in this neck of the woods, but still wintry. But, I knew it had a house that it lived in nearby, or rather I surmised that it must have, as it was surviving and apparently thriving. So, with some regret, we went back in the house, bidding goodbye to neighborhood cat, until our next unexpected meeting.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The above account was all true, but if you want a nice Christmas story that involves elves and such, you can check out the stories below.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miranda and the Christmas Elf


The little pre-school girl, Miranda, is feeling unsafe because of bullies in the neighborliness and family troubles between her mother and father. Can her friend, young elementary grade age Nathan, use his special powers to call on the North Pole for some Christmas Eve magic, to help her out?

The story is a heartwarming Christmas tale, suitable for children and adults, which will bring a little Christmas magic to us all. It is about 9000 words, or around 45 minutes or so, at typical reading speeds.

It is priced at only 99 cents (U.S. or equivalent in other currencies) and is sometimes on free promotion as well.

The book is available on Amazon, at the following links:

Amazon U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B019MCY3RM

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B019MCY3RM

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 

A Christmas Miracle at the Lake


A Christmas Miracle at the Lake” is a short story of about 10,000 words, concerning a troubled family and a marvelous Christmas visit, by a modern Christmas ghost, who has an important (and hard-earned) message about tolerance and understanding. It is a continuation of Helena’s holiday stories, which feature continuing characters at a northern Ontario lake.


It is priced at 99 cents U.S., equivalent prices in other currencies. It is also available on Kindle Unlimited and is periodically offered on a free promotion.




Amazon U.S.: ttp://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00RAWMO32

Amazon U.K.: http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Canada:   http://www.amazon.de/gp/product/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Germany: http://www.amazon.de/gp/product/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Australia: http://www.amazon.com.au/gp/product/B00RAWMO32

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00RAWMO32

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B00RAWMO32


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And finally, a children's story about a neighborhood cat:

The Summer Cottage Mystery


Here's a nice children's story by Science Fiction and Romance writer Helena Puumala. Yes, she does kid's stories too. Read it to a younger child (pre-school, elementary or early junior-high), or read it yourself to bring back memories of those long, lazy childhood days at the lake, during summer vacation, when your biggest worry in life was a lost kitten. Note that this is a short story of about 8500 words.

It is just 99 cents U.S. (equivalent in other currencies) and is sometimes on free promotion. And, of course, it’s on Kindle Unlimited.

It is available on Amazon, at the following:



Amazon U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B00N0B4TYY

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00N0B4TYY



Tuesday, 5 December 2023

Some Problems with Converting Home Heating from Natural Gas to Heat Pumps, in Cold Climates

Some Problems with Converting Home Heating from Natural Gas to Heat Pumps, in Cold Climates

The Principle behind the Heat Pump

Recently, the case for replacing furnaces powered by fossil fuels (mostly methane, also known as natural gas) with heat pumps has been strongly advanced. The idea is that heat pumps are generally powered by electricity, which can be produced by renewable sources, thus allowing buildings to be heated without producing any greenhouse gases. This is to be accomplished via the avoidance of CO2 caused by combustion, as well as by the elimination of methane leakages in the natural gas distribution systems.

Heat pumps can be thought of as reverse refrigerator. If you ever felt around the back of a refrigerator, you would have noticed heat escaping. That’s the heat from within the refrigerator that is being moved outside of it, via motors, compressors and the concept of latent heat of change of state.

Heat pumps work on the same principle of moving heat from one area to another, though in this case rather than moving heated air from within a structure to the outside world (as a refrigerator or air conditioner does), they move heat from the outside world (air or ground) to the inside of a structure. Because they are moving heat, rather than creating it from combustion or electrical resistance, they can heat a building with efficiencies higher than straight combustion of electrical resistance heating.

Often, efficiencies as high as 4 or 5 are quoted. This means that for each unit of energy consumed by the heat pump, 4 or 5 units of energy are moved from the outside world to the inside of a building. This measure is often referred to as COP (Coefficient of Performance).

The Effect of Cold Weather

This all sounds wonderful, there is a catch, as there usually is with wonderful-sounding things. The catch is, that efficiencies of a heat pump (COP) fall off quickly with outside temperatures. In fact, they work best when it is not actually very cold at all outside. That is shown in the accompanying graph adapted from the website https://learnmetrics.com/best-heat-pumps-for-cold-climates/), for a typical cold-weather heat pump. You can see that the COP goes from about 4.5 at moderately warm temperatures (15C or 60F) to about 2 at relatively cold temperatures (-15C or 5F). 


The graph is for a heat pump designed to work at colder temperatures. Standard heat pumps, that are not rated for very cold weather, will just stop working at all, once the temperature falls to about -12 C (10 F). It is also worth noting that the cold-weather type is more expensive than the type not rated for very cold weather.

These facts mean that in truly cold-weather climates, a backup source is needed. In other words, you have to keep that natural gas furnace, That means paying the gas company fixed charges during months when you don’t actually use any natural gas. Alternatively, you can switch to backup resistance-based electrical heating (e.g. baseboard heating elements) during cold weather. Both of these expedients can add up to a lot of money, on top of the money to install and operate the heat-pump system.

A Real World Cold Climate Simulation of the Costs of a Heat Pump

So, given these factors, I thought it would be interesting to simulate how well such a heat pump would work in a cold-weather environment, namely my house in Edmonton Canada. It can get rather cool here in the winter; for example, temperatures of -30 to -40 Celsius are not unknown in the depths of winter.

To begin with, I used the 12 month period between Nov 2022 and Oct 2023, but I discovered that this was probably a bad period to use for comparison, as the Alberta government had some natural gas and electricity rebate plans going on (an election period), so comparisons might of prices for different forms of energy might not generalize well, outside of this election period.

So, instead I used the period from Nov 2010 to Oct 2011, which seems to represent market prices better, without these artificial government manipulations. The cost ratio for Electricity to Natural Gas, once converted to the same metric was 5.0, which was quite typical of the 1997-2012 data that I have, which averaged 5.06. The same figure for 2022-23 was 11.2, which is definitely atypical. 


 

The table above shows natural gas charges (gas only, not including fixed charges, taxes, etc.) for the 12 month period from Nov 2022 to Oct 2023, in the first three columns after the month name column.

The next three columns show what that energy use would be, after converting GigaJoules to Kilowatt-hours (1 GJ=277.8 Kwhr) and the costs that would be expected, based on electricity prices in the area during the same period. The final column shows the ratio of the cost of energy purchased as electricity compared to natural gas.

The take-away from this is that a straight conversion to electrical energy from natural gas is considerably more expensive, making the energy-component costs of heating go from about $550 to about $2750, an increase by a factor of five.

The Heat Pump Efficiency Effect

But, what about the heat pump efficiency effect? The table below shows that this does bring costs down quite substantially, from about $2750 to about $1100. But remember that the natural gas cost was only about $550, so costs have still doubled from the conversion.


This doesn’t take into account the fact that some of the lows experienced during the cold months will be far below the average, in the range where the heat pumps have a very low COP, approaching 1.0 (assuming that they work at all). So, during those periods, backup heating is needed, either via electrical elements (which are 5 times as expensive as natural gas) or via a backup natural gas furnace, which rather negates the whole point of the conversion. I estimate that the additional costs during those cold months would be about $300 if using natural gas, and about probably double that if electrical resistance heading was used.

Keeping a natural gas furnace in operation as a backup will most likely include a lot of fixed costs, which the gas company charges regardless of how much gas a household actually uses. These costs are quite substantial – during the 2022-23 12 month period, the fixed costs came to about $900. So, those costs wouldn’t go away, as long as backup heating was needed.

Then, there is the cost of the heat pump and related installation costs themselves. The federal government has a heat pump cost calculator, which gives some idea of what the costs would be. For my home, the calculator estimates $12,000 to $15,000, though there might be government support available, if you qualify. That could bring the costs down to $7000 to $10,000. That’s about 1000 per year, amortized over 15 years.

Summary

By these estimates, annual costs for heating a modest-sized house via a heat pump in Alberta would probably increase by:

  • about $500 because electricity is more expensive than natural gas, joule for joule.

  • About $1000 for the purchase and installation of the heat pump, amortizing the costs over 15 years.

  • About $500 for backup heating during cold winter temperatures, where the heat pump would be extremely inefficient, and might not work at all.

So, a minimum estimate of an extra $2000 per year.

And the final kicker of all this, is that in many areas of the country the electricity would be generated by natural gas anyway, so the carbon emission reductions wouldn’t really exist. Certainly, without ample hydro power, the amount of renewable power required for this plan would be far more that what could reasonably be expected for many more years. This may be doable in Quebec, but not in Alberta.

Solar panels are great (I have 16 of them on my garage) but they just aren’t yet up to the job. I estimate that I would have to up my solar panel count by a factor of a least 4, to even theoretically power the house’s electrical and heating needs, probably much more in practice. And that assumes that one could store the extra energy generated in the summer, for those long, cold, dark winter nights.

This also doesn’t include the costs of building out the additional electrical infrastructure and decommissioning the natural gas infrastructure. Not to mention that much of the world is blithely ignoring the carbon emissions targets anyway (e.g. China is said to be opening two new coal-fired electrical-generating plants per week).

In summary, the plan seems ill-considered and unrealistic, at least for much of the country.



Here’s an American source that says much the same thing:

Electricity Versus Natural Gas

Meanwhile, a recent report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) found that the cost of heating a home this coming winter using natural gas is going to be roughly 40 percent lower than using electricity.

Households using electricity to heat homes are projected to pay $1,063 on average between November and March, according to a Nov. 7 winter fuels outlook report by EIA. By contrast, households using natural gas are only expected to fork over $601.

The stark findings come as the Biden administration ramps up its war on gas appliances, including furnaces, while touting electrically-powered alternatives (such as heat pumps), all in the name of fighting climate change.

Recently, the Department of Energy (DOE) announced that President Joe Biden will use emergency wartime powers to boost U.S. production of electric heat pumps as his administration continues its push to replace furnaces that run on fossil fuels.

Earlier, the DOE proposed new energy efficiency standards for residential water heaters that would require electric water heaters of the most common size to use heat pump technology and gas-fired instantaneous water heaters to use condensing technology to achieve energy efficiency.

At the time, Republicans on the House Subcommittee on Economic Growth, Energy Policy, and Regulatory Affairs argued that the DOE’s proposed appliance efficiency standards would be burdensome and costly for Americans, hitting lower-income families the hardest.

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/residents-blue-states-pay-much-more-electricity-red-states-study

Here’s the document that the article above used as source material:

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2023/10-winterfuels/article.php#vinttab1

=====================================================

And, here’s a pleasant little travel story about a place where a solar-heated reading nook could be quite useful. You would definitely have to be careful about your unit being knocked over by the wind, though.

A Drive Across Newfoundland


U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07NMR9WM8

U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B07NMR9WM8

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B07NMR9WM8

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B07NMR9WM8

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B07NMR9WM8

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B07NMR9WM8

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B07NMR9WM8

Newfoundland, Canada’s most easterly province, is a region that is both fascinating in its unique culture and amazing in its vistas of stark beauty. The weather is often wild, with coastal regions known for steep cliffs and crashing waves (though tranquil beaches exist too). The inland areas are primarily Precambrian shield, dominated by forests, rivers, rock formations, and abundant wildlife. The province also features some of the Earth’s most remarkable geology, notably The Tablelands, where the mantle rocks of the Earth’s interior have been exposed at the surface, permitting one to explore an almost alien landscape, an opportunity available on only a few scattered regions of the planet.

The city of St. John’s is one of Canada’s most unique urban areas, with a population that maintains many old traditions and cultural aspects of the British Isles. That’s true of the rest of the province, as well, where the people are friendly and inclined to chat amiably with visitors. Plus, they talk with amusing accents and party hard, so what’s not to like?

This account focusses on a two-week road trip in October 2007, from St. John’s in the southeast, to L’Anse aux Meadows in the far northwest, the only known Viking settlement in North America. It also features a day hike visit to The Tablelands, a remarkable and majestic geological feature. Even those who don’t normally consider themselves very interested in geology will find themselves awe-struck by these other-worldly landscapes.