Showing posts with label marketing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label marketing. Show all posts

Monday, 20 October 2025

My Conner McDavid Prediction of April 2024 – How did it Turn Out?

My Conner McDavid Prediction of April 2024 – How did it Turn Out?

Review of an Earlier Predictive Blog about Conner McDavid’s Extension Decision

Back in April 2024, I wrote a facetious blog suggesting that the Edmonton Oilers management actually wanted to trade Conner McDavid to an American team, and would frustrate him into going along with that idea, by ensuring that the team would never have a consistent goalie during McDavid’s tenure. The idea was that the NHL wanted their marquee player to go to a big market in the U.S. in order to "grow the game", rather than ‘waste’ their greatest talent in a small Canadian market. I drew some obvious parallels with the saga of Wayne Gretzky, another great Oiler who was traded in his prime, in the hopes of sparking more widespread interest in hockey in the U.S.. I have appended that blog to the end of this one, for a more detailed working-out of the theory.

Here are some of the detailed predictions from that earlier blog:

Prediction: "Oilers insist that Skinner is the man, this summer. McDavid decides “that’s it, I’m out of here”. Bonus: the wife goes to a bigger, more important city, as did Gretzky’s wife."

Outcome: The Oilers did insist that Skinner (or Skinner-Pickard) is their intended goalie solution for the next season, during the off-season between 2024-25 and 2025-26. However, instead of deciding "that’s it, I’m out of here", he decided "here’s enough money to get a top-level goalie so that my teammates and I can win a Stanley Cup. If we don’t get that goalie and win the Cup, I’m gone." I predict that Conner will be watching very intensely, to see if management gets the message.

Prediction: "McDavid does not go to the Leafs or any other Canadian team (sorry Leafs fans). The NHL (i.e. Bettman) sees no point in that, they want him in an American market."

Outcome: It’s true that McDavid didn’t go to the Leafs or any other Canadian team, since he did extend with Edmonton. However, the Leafs did lose Mitch Marner to a U.S. team (Las Vegas) over the off-season, so I think I deserve some part-marks for that.

Prediction: "Once this is accomplished, the Oilers will shop around for a new, better goalie, and obtain one. That will console the local fans, at least somewhat."

Outcome: Again, McDavid didn’t leave the Oilers, so that part is N/A. However the Oilers have done some limited shopping for a new, better goalie, resulting in the signing of Conner Ingram of Utah. It remains to be seen if that constitutes an improvement or whether the local fans are consoled by the signing of this goalie. It seems unlikely to me that this deal goes as far as McDavid wants. We will see what the Oilers management does over the next year or so. I predict that they will continue to drag their feet.

Prediction: "Which market? Probably one that is promising for expansion of the league’s presence in the U.S.. But probably not one where hockey is already firmly established (not New York, for example). Possible locations: Utah, Seattle, San Jose or Columbus."

Outcome: Again, McDavid didn’t leave the Oilers, so that part is N/A. It is interesting that Utah has had some involvement in the general scenario (via Conner Ingram), however.



Some Comments and Observations about Conner McDavid’s Actual Extension Decision

What actually happened, is that McDavid signed a 2 year extension to his contract, maintaining his pay at $12.5 million per year. It is widely agreed that, as hockey’s best player, he could have held out for much more than that. Some other marquee players signed for much more money, with the current maximum being $17 million. McDavid could have easily gotten that much, from the Oilers or just about any other team in the league.

So why did he do it? This is usually referred to as a home-town deal or a friendly deal. The idea is that the player wants to stay with his current team for one reason or another, so he gives them a sweetheart deal. That may be that he or his family really like the city that they are in, that he really likes the team and his teammates or perhaps really dislikes the alternative teams that can afford to pay him the maximum attainable salary.

Most people think that McDavid really wants to win a Stanley Cup and realized that by getting top dollar he would handicap any team that he signed with, as then they wouldn’t have the money to surround him with at truly top-notch team. So, he decided to sacrifice some money in order to win the championship trophy. (Note that teams have a maximum salary that they can pay (the cap), so low-balling his contract opened up cap-space (left money in the kitty for other top players to be signed)). Presumably he looked around and thought the Oilers were his best chance of realizing his goal, if they had enough cap-space to sign a top-flight goalie.

He is also known to be good friends with Leon Draisaitl, another Oiler who has signed a long-term contract with the Oilers. So he may be prioritizing friendship over money, at least for a while. Then there is family to consider. His wife has started up several businesses in Edmonton, so she might want to stick around to grow those businesses, both for the money and as a personal goal.

It is also worth keeping in mind that he could well earn a lot more money in the future, should he captain a Stanley Cup winning team. Yes, he is a great player either way, but there is something about winning the Cup that cements that reputation and supports any demands for even more money. So, it is possible that this plan might earn him more money in the long run than going for the gusto would have done in the present.

There is also the notion of legacy to consider. Winning a Stanley Cup in Edmonton would give him ‘Cup cred’ and would be extra-significant as it would be the first Stanley Cup to come to Canada since the early 1990’s. That would be an extra feather in his cap, or hockey helmet. He has expressed the desire to be on a winning Canadian Olympic Gold Medal hockey team, so some patriotism is probably mixed into the motivations.

A final consideration deals with the nature of money itself. He has already earned over $100 million up to this point in his career, not including endorsements or other non-hockey money. And $12.5 isn’t exactly small potatoes, so he is still increasing his overall wealth, rather handily. While many people think "the best must be payed the most", this rule of thumb is just that, not an actual rule that people must follow. He is demonstrating that with his extension signing.

How is it Turning Out so Far?

It has only been a couple of weeks since the season started (I am writing this on Oct 19, 2025). The Oilers are in one of their usual early-season skids, losing their last three games on the road. Does this mean that the deal isn’t working out?

Well, obviously it is far to early to say anything like that. However, it may indicate some issues about leadership. Perhaps coach Kris Knoblauch is having some difficulty with the situation. While it is true that top players are more important than coaches (e.g. they make more money), it is important to maintain the fiction that the coach is top dog. So, perhaps that’s an issue.

The whole business might have also placed a lot of unexpected self-imposed stress on Conner McDavid. He has called his shot, so to speak, so now he has to hit a home run (yes, I am mixing hockey and baseball metaphors, as well as dogsled teams). That could weigh heavily on Conner’s mind, at least for a while.

Having said all that, it is almost certain that the Oilers will pull out of the doldrums and begin winning again. At least this way, they need not fear the President’s Cup curse of the ‘peaking too early’ curse.

Appendix 1: Earlier blog post

A Modest Hockey Proposal – McDavid Leaves the Oilers, with the Hows and Whys (Apr 24, 2024)

Note: This is just meant in the spirit of fun and irony, not to be taken seriously by lawyers and such.

  • 1987 – Gretzky traded/sold after about 10 years with Oilers (including WHA).

  • He went to L.A. - the idea was to lock down hockey as a major league sport in the U.S., especially Southern California (and southern regions in general).

  • The deal was between Pocklington and McNall – but obviously the NHL brain-trust must have also been involved, at least to some extent.

  • Gretzky was “wasted” in Edmonton – he was a big draw all over North America, but it would create more publicity if he was playing in a larger market. More money and prestige for everyone.

  • Flash forward to 2020s.

  • McDavid has had about 10 years with the Oilers, came very close to a Stanley Cup.

  • McDavid is “wasted” in Edmonton – he is a big draw all over, but would create more publicity if he was playing in a larger American market. More money and prestige for everyone.

  • But how to move him to a different city?

  • Solution: Oilers owner and management (Katz and company) insist on keeping under-performing goalie(s), though it is obvious that this is not working.

  • This frustrates McDavid, so he wants to go to a contender with standard or better goal-tending.

    Predictions:

  • Oilers insist that Skinner is the man, this summer. McDavid decides “that’s it, I’m out of here”. Bonus: the wife goes to a bigger, more important city, as did Gretzky’s wife.

  • McDavid does not go to the Leafs or any other Canadian team (sorry Leafs fans). The NHL (i.e. Bettman) sees no point in that, they want him in an American market.

  • Once this is accomplished, the Oilers will shop around for a new, better goalie, and obtain one. That will console the local fans, at least somewhat.

  • Which market? Probably one that is promising for expansion of the league’s presence in the U.S.. But probably not one where hockey is already firmly established (not New York, for example). Possible locations: Utah, Seattle San Jose or Columbus.

Questions:

  • Is this crazy conspiracy thinking? No, this makes perfect sense from the NHL’s point of view. Furthermore, pro sports are “entertainment” so questions about fairness are irrelevant.

  • Why would Katz do it? He has his new hockey arena. He doesn’t need McDavid to draw fans in Edmonton. Leon Draisaitl will still remain with the Oilers, so that will assuage the local fans (especially if the Oilers sign a new goalie, shortly after McDavid leaves).

  • What’s in it for Katz and Oilers management?

    • Many possible hockey or non-hockey business opportunities or positions might suddenly open up (though it would just be a coincidence).

    • Plus, there would be a status gain for this development “it was best for the good of the league and the game”. Edmonton fans would grumble, but they will always show up at the rink and on the TV.

  • Would this be considered anti-trust behaviour on behalf of Katz and Bettman (possibly others as well)? Hard to say, but it would be difficult to prove anyway.


Thursday, 24 April 2025

A Modest Hockey Proposal – McDavid Leaves the Oilers, with the Hows and Whys of It

A Modest Hockey Proposal – McDavid Leaves the Oilers, with the Hows and the Whys of It

Note: This is just meant in the spirit of fun and irony, not to be taken seriously by lawyers and such.

  • 1987 – Gretzky traded/sold after about 10 years with Oilers (including WHA).

  • He went to L.A. - the idea was to lock down hockey as a major league sport in the U.S., especially Southern California (and southern regions in general).

  • The deal was between Pocklington and McNall – but obviously the NHL brain-trust must have also been involved, at least to some extent.

  • Gretzky was “wasted” in Edmonton – he was a big draw all over North America, but it would create more publicity if he was playing in a larger market. More money and prestige for everyone.

  • Flash forward to 2020s.

  • McDavid has had about 10 years with the Oilers, came very close to a Stanley Cup.

  • McDavid is “wasted” in Edmonton – he is a big draw all over, but would create more publicity if he was playing in a larger American market. More money and prestige for everyone.

  • But how to move him to a different city?

  • Solution: Oilers owner and management (Katz and company) insist on keeping under-performing goalie(s), though it is obvious that this is not working.

  • This frustrates McDavid, so he wants to go to a contender with standard or better goal-tending.

    Predictions:

  • Oilers insist that Skinner is the man, this summer. McDavid decides “that’s it, I’m out of here”. Bonus: the wife goes to a bigger, more important city, as did Gretzky’s wife.

  • McDavid does not go to the Leafs or any other Canadian team (sorry Leafs fans). The NHL (i.e. Bettman) sees no point in that, they want him in an American market.

  • Once this is accomplished, the Oilers will shop around for a new, better goalie, and obtain one. That will console the local fans, at least somewhat.

  • Which market? Probably one that is promising for expansion of the league’s presence in the U.S.. But probably not one where hockey is already firmly established (not New York, for example). Possible locations: Utah, Seattle San Jose or Columbus.

Questions:

  • Is this crazy conspiracy thinking? No, this makes perfect sense from the NHL’s point of view. Furthermore, pro sports are “entertainment” so questions about fairness are irrelevant.

  • Why would Katz do it? He has his new hockey arena. He doesn’t need McDavid to draw fans in Edmonton. Leon Draisaitl will still remain with the Oilers, so that will assuage the local fans (especially if the Oilers sign a new goalie, shortly after McDavid leaves).

  • What’s in it for Katz and Oilers management?

    • Many possible hockey or non-hockey business opportunities or positions might suddenly open up (though it would just be a coincidence).

    • Plus, there would be a status gain for this development “it was best for the good of the league and the game”. Edmonton fans would grumble, but they will always show up at the rink and on the TV.

  • Would this be considered anti-trust behaviour on behalf of Katz and Bettman (possibly others as well)? Hard to say, but it would be difficult to prove anyway.

Tuesday, 9 April 2024

Indigo Books and Music to be Sold to Holding Company, Intends to Go Private

Indigo Books and Music to be Sold to Holding Company, Intends to Go Private

The headline in the Globe and Mail Report on Business, on page B3 (April 4, 2024) states “Indigo to go private after sale to holding company”.They are referring to Indigo Books & Music, Inc., Canada’s largest purveyor of print books, among other items. This has been a long time coming, as the following graphs will illustrate.

The deal is somewhat similar to what happened earlier (2019) to the U.S. bookstore chain, Barnes and Noble. At that time the hedge fund Eliot Management Corporation took it over, as Barnes and Noble had suffered an extended period of losses or only small profits. I should note that they are still a going concern, though as a private entity there is no publicly available data on sales or profits (the website says “At present, Barnes & Noble serves over 600 communities in all 50 states and remains the #1 book retailer in the United States”).

In the case of Indigo, the holding companies (Trilogy Retail Holdings Inc. And Trilogy Investments I.P.) that bought Indigo are owned by the husband of Indigo’s CEO, Heather Reisman. He was also a major shareholder in Indigo. So, in a sense, the company is under new management, which isn’t much different from old management. But, it will no longer be required to divulge financial information to the public and won’t be beholden to a corporate Board of Directors.

In the past few years, Indigo was hit by a ransomware attack and had a lot of dissension on the Board. And, of course, there was that whole Covid matter, which wasn’t great for business either. But, as the attached graphs show, things hadn’t been easy for Indigo for quite a while.

The first graph shows that Indigo’s sales and costs had increased in tandem, from 1999, so profits were not increasing. In fact, since 2010, there were many years of losses, interspersed with smallish profits, as the graph below shows. The Covid years definitely hurt, but there were problems evident before that (e.g. 2019 showed a substantial loss, which was before Covid hit Canada).


 As the graph below shows, sales plateaued at about 2008-10, when adjusted for inflation.



 After that, there was a falloff, then a recovery, then another falloff. By now, sales are about the same as they were in 2000, on a CPI adjusted basis. There has been a fairly considerable jump in population during that 24 year period, however, so it might be expected that sales would reflect that.

But that doesn’t seem to be the case – people are either reading less or reading differently i.e. reading is mostly done on e-readers, which has cut into bookstore sales. Given these facts, it looks like Indigo did pretty well, to hang on as long as it did. We will have to wait and see how this works out in the future.

I have written a number of blogs on the Chapters/Indigo saga over this period. I have summarized them below, for the interested reader.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

Blog 15 – Empty Chapters (2013-09-04)

http://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.ca/2013/09/empty-chapters.html 

Chapters is the big bookstore chain in Canada – equivalent to Barnes and Noble in the U.S. or Waterstones in the U.K.. Until the on-line book revolution it was the place to go for books in Canada (unless you lived near a really good independent store or a campus bookstore).

So, our visit was on Saturday, at about noon. This was in the trendy Whyte Avenue area of Edmonton, near the University of Alberta, and the Strathcona Farmer’s Market. On a nice warm late summer Saturday, the area generally attracts tens of thousands of strollers and shoppers to the shops, restaurants and pubs. The day went according to form – plenty of people on the sidewalks and the Farmer’s Market was crowded.

But Chapters was dead. As I recall it from a few years back, it would have been packed with people at that time of the day on a Saturday. Not so anymore – I was the only person at the cash register lineup. And my purpose was to buy a mini-Kobo and gift card for a friend’s upcoming birthday, so that doesn’t bode well for Chapters’ future either. He may become a convert to the Amazon or Kobo online stores, once he has an e-reader.

...

So, it looks as if we might soon be closing the book on Chapters. It’s kind of sad, but I guess we can take heart, that it won’t be the end of books.

 

Blog 20 – Another Visit to Chapters and a historical look at the price of Alice Munro’s books (2013-10-11)

http://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.ca/2013/10/another-visit-to-chapters-and.html 

I wrote the draft of this blog a couple of weeks ago, but since it focuses comparing the prices of books I thought this might be an interesting and topical little addendum. Alice Munro’s winning of the Nobel Prize for literature (yay Canada) motivated me to look around the house for some of her books that we own. I found a paperback book that she wrote, that was printed in 1979 (Who do you Think you Are?). It’s cover price is $C2.25. A more recent trade book of by Alice Munro that we own (The View from Castle Rock) cost $C20.00, bought around the year 2010.

I checked the Consumer Price Index on the Statistics Canada website. For 1979 was 40 (with 2002=100), while for 2010 it was 116.5. So, that’s an escalator of about 2.9 times. Given that, the price of a paperback should have only risen to about $6.55 between 1979 and 2010 (2.25 times 2.9). Instead, it hit $20. Granted, there is some difference in quality between the 4 inch by 7 inch paperback of 1979 and the 5 inch by 8 inch 2010 trade back book, but it’s not enough to account for such a big difference between the increase in book prices and the increase in overall consumer prices during this time interval.

Interestingly, recent e-books seem to be settling in at about the $4 to $10 range, so the e-book revolution may just be returning matters to their historic norm. A quick check of Amazon.ca’s website, however, shows that the kindle version of “Who do you Think you Are?” is going for $C13.99, the paperback for $C13.72.

 

Blog 26 - Whither Chapters (or Wither Indigo?) (2013-11-18)

https://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.com/2013/11/whither-chapters-or-wither-chapters.html 

Indigo Books and Music Inc is the major corporation behind Canada’s big book chains - Chapters, Coles, Indigo and the World’s Biggest Bookstore. And according to the November 7, 2013 copy of the Globe and Mail (“Indigo falls as dividend disappears”) it is in significant trouble. Please note for American, British or other readers, that you can be pretty sure that whatever is happening to Canada’s Indigo/Chapters is also happening to Barnes and Noble, Waterstones, or whatever your national big book retailer happens to be called.

Here’s a selection of quotes from the Globe and Mail article about Indigo/Chapters:

  • "dying bricks and mortar bookstore model"

  • "falling margins in its core book business"

  • remodelling… stores to step up its move away from books and into other products”

  • investors are considering whether to wait for the results"

  • The book part of the store will continue to decline in sales”

...

There was a net loss of $10.1 million dollars in quarter 2 (April to June) of 2013, based on lower sales and higher costs. In fact, revenues fell 3.3%, to $179.4 million, while costs of operations went up slightly. It should be noted that Q2, 2012 also saw a net loss, but a lower amount, about $4 million.

...

Because of this, the company decided to suspend its usual dividend payout for Q2 2013, and the stock price plunged 18% in one day. The company has been paying dividends since 2009, when Indigo finished paying off debt incurred from its acquisition of Chapters. So, it seems that investors are used to a dividend, and they don’t like to see it yanked.

The money that would have been paid out ($11 million) is to be redirected to its conversion into a “lifestyle company”, focused less on books and more on toys, gifts, house wares and electronics. This is due to falling margins in its core book business, related to pressure from online paper book and digital book sales.

...

I did an informal content analysis of the last 5 (Chapters/Indigo) flyers that came to our house, roughly corresponding to October and first half of November 2013...we find that:

  • 62% of ads were for non-book items.

  • 13% were for picture books.

  • 2% were cookbooks.

  • 2% were kobo ads.

  • 21% were narrative books.

...

So, what’s this mean for book publishing? Basically, the big bookstore chains are either failing or converting to other products and business models. That means the major “value proposition” for big publishers is withering away. What is that value proposition? Just this - they can put writer’s books into the bookstores. Self/Independent/Small publishers really can’t do this, for the most part.

...

The power law phenomenon in book sales will continue. A relatively small number of books will dominate sales. But that power law will probably flatten somewhat as the vectors of distribution open up (that just means that sales will spread out more evenly and the “long tail” will become more prominent). So, writing and publishing books will still be a tough way to make a living. As the value proposition of the middlemen withers away, it may become more and more a labour of love and art for the producers than a hard headed business. But that’s another blog.

 

Blog 41 - Whither Chapters 2 (and whither Barnes and Noble too) (2014-03-11)

 https://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.com/2014/03/whither-chapters-2-and-whither-barnes.html

...I have written a couple of blogs about the fate of Chapters (or at least their recent results). In this blog, I will update some data on them, and also add some data on the U.S. giant, Barnes and Noble.

The first graph below shows the sales trajectory for Chapters from 1999 onward <y-axis in $millions>... in both current dollars, and in inflation-adjusted dollars (in this case using 1999 as the base year). As we can see, sales grew fairly nicely until about 2008 in inflation-adjusted dollars, then plateaued for a few years, before turning downwards in 2011. With nominal dollars (not inflation-adjusted) the growth continued until 2011, then also turned downwards. In that case, the growth from 2008 to 2011 was just books keeping up with general inflation.


The fact that sales in inflation-adjusted dollars hit their peak in 2008, then stayed there for a few years is probably a reflection of the worldwide financial crisis that happened about that time. But the downturn from 2011 onward is more likely due to the disruption of the book market by the widespread adoption of ebooks, which would have cut sharply into print-book sales.

...

We next look at operating expenses versus sales, and consequent operating income (operating profit or loss), in the graph below. I have just included the inflation-adjusted graph lines, so as to simplify the picture. As you can see, Chapters operating income dropped during the 2010 to 2012 period, eventually dipping below 0 in 2012, for an operating loss. In 2013 they ground out a small profit, as their cost-cutting measures managed to overtake their revenue declines.


The third graph shows operating income (profit or loss) at a more useful scale. It is pretty clear that things took a nosedive after 2010, with a bounce back up in 2013. Is this the infamous dead cat bounce? (That’s a financial term that implies that one shouldn’t get too excited about a turnaround, because even a dead cat will bounce a bit after a big fall, but it doesn’t mean it’s getting back on its feet).


It’s hard to know that for sure. Perhaps Chapters will be able to turn things around, though given the technological disruption that they are facing, it might not be a smart bet, if you are thinking of investing for the long term. Companies can cut costs faster than they lose sales at the beginning by closing marginal stores, laying off inessential staff, selling unnecessary equipment (not sure if they have a corporate jet), and similar measures. But most of those things can only be done once, so if sales don’t turn around, it just delays the inevitable. As they say, you can’t shrink your way to greatness.

<Some other text and graphs went on to demonstrate that the big U.S. bookstore chain Barnes and Noble was going through similar challenges at this time, as were the French and German equivalents in the book selling business.>

 

Blog 60 – Whither Chapters 3 or Chapters Fiscal 2014 Results – Smooth Flow into Tragedy (June ‎4, ‎2014)

https://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.com/2014/10/whither-chapters-3-and-whither-barnes.html 

...In this blog, I will update some of this financial data, in particular the results for fiscal year 2014 (in Canada the fiscal year usually runs from April 1 to March 31, so this time period is April 1, 2013 to March 31, 2014).

...

The first graph below shows the sales trajectory for Chapters from 2009 onwards (this data is widely available from online stock market information sources such as the Globe and Mail or from the Chapters/Indigo website). I show sales in both current dollars, and in inflation-adjusted dollars (in this case using 1999 as the base year, since this is an update of some earlier graphs that went back further in time). As we can see, the earlier trend of declining sales revenue continues during fiscal 2013-14. This is especially clear in the CPI adjusted line (the lower line).


We next look at operating expenses versus sales, and consequent operating income (operating profit or loss), in the graph below...graph certainly looks harmless enough - that’s why I called it smooth flow into tragedy. It appears that they couldn’t cut costs as quickly as revenue fell in 2014, not a good sign, even though they seem to be undergoing a gentle descent in revenues. But, under normal circumstances, their loss doesn’t seem impossible to recover from.


The third graph (below) shows operating income (profit or loss) at a more useful scale. This graph paints a much more alarming picture than the first two. We no longer have a smooth flow into tragedy but rather what appears to be a plummet into disaster. It is pretty clear that things took a nosedive after 2010, with a bounce back up in 2013. That appears now to be the infamous dead cat bounce, given the continuing and increased losses in 2014.

I note in passing that their major good news announcement in their annual report was “Indigo launched the first two American Girl Specialty Boutiques outside the United States”. Somehow I don’t think going into the business of selling dolls will save this bookstore chain, though it seems oddly appropriate that they are pinning their hopes on a children’s fantasy world.

 

Blog 75 - Whither Chapters 4 (and whither Barnes and Noble III) (October ‎3, ‎2014)

<The first part of the blog gives first quarter results, and has some statistical analysis on how well first quarter results correlate with whole year results. It showed that continuing losses were expected for the upcoming year.>

Here’s the trend, which looks more like wheel spinning than forward traction, to this observer (note that these are not inflation adjusted):

2009: -1.2 million loss

2010: -2.3 million loss

2011: -5.3 million loss

2012: -18.1 million loss

2013: -5.5 million loss

2014: -15.0 million loss

2015: - 14.0 million loss

...

Looking at the composition of sales, the big revenue gainers were in the non-book areas. Revenues from books were up about $0.5 million, which is a gain of less than half a percent. If we factor in inflation, that’s actually represents a reduction in real dollars.

General Merchandise (toys and stuff) were up, though. An example of this that they emphasize is the “American Girls” line of dolls that they are now marketing. The General Merchandise category now accounts for 27.4% of the business, compared to 21.9% last year.

Correspondingly, Books are now 68.1% of sales, compared to 72.6% last year. Note that “Books” also includes magazines, newspapers calendars and shipping revenue. The inclusion of shipping revenue with the “Print” category seems like a peculiar decision – perhaps it is money earned for shipping physical books.

The latest Chapters catalogue came out with the Globe and Mail, in September. It is entitled “The Joy of Fall, 2014 Guide”. An informal content analysis that I did showed that:

  • 90 of 176 identifiable items were books, for 51% of the total.

  • 14 of 32 pages were primarily dominated by books, for 44% of the total.

So, depending on how you operationalize this variable, just over or just under half the content being pushed were books, with the remainder being non-books. The non-book items consisted primarily of household items for the kitchen, a lot of soft snugly stuff like pillows, throw rugs, scarves, and a selection of electronic items, including some ebook related items.

...

So, Chapters is well on its way to being a general merchandise store that features a substantial book presence, rather than a bookstore per se. For writers and publishers, this means that Chapters is effectively shrinking in importance, even if their changing business strategy helps them to remain profitable. No doubt this is especially the case for mid-listers, who will be the first to be displaced by the transformation to general merchandise.

 

Blog 265 - Requiem for a Heavyweight – Barnes and Noble Booksellers Sold to a Hedge Fund

https://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.com/2019/06/requiem-for-heavyweight-barnes-and.html 

 

On June 8 of this year (2019) The Globe and Mail reported that a U.S. Hedge Fund is to buy the American bookseller Barnes and Noble, the largest bookstore chain in America. That means that it will cease being a publicly traded stock, and will be owned by a private capital concern, Elliot Management Corporation. That may be a lifeline for the troubled book giant, or it may be a signal that the company will be out of business soon, at least as far as selling books is concerned.

....

The hedge fund is taking over and says it is bringing in new talent from the U.K., to effect a turnaround, but the chances of that working don’t seem very good to me. Amazon isn’t going away anytime soon, and neither are e-readers. The trend looks inevitable and hedge funds aren’t generally noted for having long time-lines.

  

Blog 307 - Chapters/Indigo vs Barnes and Noble – Sales, Expenses and Income (‎July ‎18, ‎2020)

https://dodecahedronbooks.blogspot.com/2020/07/is-end-approaching-for-chapters-and.html 

A few weeks ago (late June 2020), The Globe and Mail reported that Chapters/Indigo, Canada’s largest bookseller was facing financial hardship. This was credited, in part, to the lockdown of bookstores and other retailers during the Covid-19 pandemic, during the spring. That being said, the financial period in question didn’t actually include the lockdown; trouble was already there, which the lockdown was likely to exacerbate.

The lockdown is interesting, however. Physical bookstores often use the face-to-face contact and the touch, look and feel of print books as selling points. Now those factors are precisely the things people want to avoid during a pandemic.


The graph above shows the company’s sales over the past two decades or so, adjusted for inflation (CPI). Sales were on an upward curve until about 2008, when they flattened then fell. Two things happened at that time, the financial crisis (and ensuing recession) and the launch of the Kindle eBook (and related products, including Chapters own Kobo, which they later sold). Sales then picked up quite nicely until about 2018, when they once more fell off a cliff. It’s not clear what the causative factor might have been – perhaps it was related to a generalized drop in book prices, associated with the continuing penetration of e-books into the print business along with the closing of bookstores that didn’t drive much business.

Interestingly almost a year earlier (June 8 2019) The Globe and Mail also reported that a U.S. hedge fund was to buy the American bookseller Barnes and Noble, the largest bookstore chain in America. That meant that it ceased being a publicly traded stock, and is owned by a private capital concern, Elliot Management Corporation. That may be a lifeline for the troubled book giant, or it may be a signal that the company will be out of business soon, at least as far as selling books is concerned. At least so far, Barnes and Noble is still in business, though now that it is private, its sales and expenses are no longer publicly available.

The graph below shows sales for both companies over past 20 years or so, adjusted to 2019 constant dollars in the appropriate currencies (the figures come from the annual reports, available on their websites). Since the two countries differ by about a factor of ten, each company has a different y-axis. I should note that stitching together time series like these is a bit tricky – there are frequent restatements of numbers, and entities such as big corporations tend to morph a bit over two decades, buying and selling new assets to add to and subtract from the business.

The next graph shows... sales for each company relative to sales in 1999, the beginning of the time series. The interesting feature here is the comparison of B&N in 2015-2018 to Chapters in 2018-2020. During those intervals, each company lost about 20% of sales as stated with this index number measure (B&N from 0.93 to 0.74, Chapters from 1.37 to 1.18).


So, the question is, will Chapters end up like Barnes and Noble, either bought by a hedge fund or simply go out of business. It has managed to get through some fairly wild swings of fortune over the past decade or so. However, using this measure, its sales are about back to where they were in 2000. Furthermore, the graphical comparison with Barnes and Noble cannot be reassuring.



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And  after all that, here is a book plug about something real, working on the railroad.

A Summer Working on the Railroad


What follows is an account of a few weeks one long-ago summer, when I was 19 and was working for the Canadian National Railway (CNR) on a railroad construction gang, in the wilds of north-central British Columbia, Canada.

The journal is in the form of a letter, that was never sent. Decades later, I think it has an interesting historical resonance. At times I come off like a callow youth – I plead guilty as charged. I swore a lot more in those days than I do now, but in places the writing is surprisingly good, at least in my humble opinion. And the story has a compelling narrative arc.

There were a lot of interesting and dramatic events that occurred – a number of industrial accidents being the most serious. There were also some colorful characters on the crew, which resulted in some dramatic and at times amusing conflicts and altercations. I perhaps flatter myself by including myself in that number. Or perhaps I condemn myself – I’m not sure.

So, if you want to be reminded of one of those summer jobs that was kind of life-changing, read on. My story may just kick-start some memories of your own.

The memoir/journal is about 9,000 words, a length that can usually be read in an hour or so. It is priced at 99 cents U.S. (equivalent in other currencies) and is free on Kindle Unlimited. Periodically, it will be offered as a free promotion.

U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CN661P8Z

UK: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B0CN661P8Z

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B0CN661P8Z

France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B0CN661P8Z



 

 



 

Saturday, 10 February 2024

Ranking Reader Feedback (1 to 8) or What Makes a Writer Happy?

 

What Makes a Writer Happy?

(Ranking Reader Feedback, 1 to 9)

My Quora posts just went over 500,000 views recently (Jan 31, 2024). That seems like an accomplishment of sorts, though writing about it feels a bit self-centred (i.e. blowing your own horn). But I don't own a cat or dog, and my son is grown up (waiting on grand-kids, hint, hint, Scott), so funny pet and cute child content is not currently possible. Thus I will brag about this instead.

But in order to make the bragging more palatable, I will write about the various types of feedback that my writing (and my wife’s) have received and give some indication of how they differ. I will rank them, because ranking is fun and people often like that sort of thing. It also helps to frame matters, which helps to develop the content of the essay. So here goes.

Note that this all applies to internet channels for sales and other feedback.

  • 1 – Selling Print Book(s)

I know it is a bit old-fashioned, but there is still something special about selling a print book, via Amazon (or some other on-line business) that is pretty cool. I think it has to do with the idea that someone out there will pay a higher price than you charge for the ebook and that he/she will wait around for your book to arrive in the mail.

On a few occasions, I have had readers get in touch with me, desiring a print copy of an ebook. They might want that because the book will make a nice gift or they might have a collection of books on that subject. My book about military engineers in WW2 fell into that category, as did my book about working one summer on the railroad. In the case of the WW2 book, it turned out that the reader’s uncle was in the same unit (Royal Canadian Engineers, 12 Field Company) as my dad. So, symbolically, it felt a little bit like getting old comrades together.

The fact that someone went to some trouble to get a print copy of your book is flattering and the idea that you are helping some person out in this way is very rewarding.

  • 2 – Selling ebook(s)

This one is great, too. In the Amazon marketplace, we tend to sell a lot more ebooks than print books (about 20 to 1 ratio, I would say). Perhaps that makes it seem a tiny-bit less special than print books, but it still is a great feeling.

There are two possibilities here: the regular ebook and the Kindle Unlimited (KU) read of an ebook.

The latter (KU read) actually lets you see how well your book was received, since you are paid by the page. Most of our books have good completion rates, which is very nice. In some cases, non-completions are understandable. In the case of non-fiction such as a travel book, the reader may have just wanted to get a general sense of a subject or a potential trip, without spending a lot of time on details. With fiction, it may be that it is just not that reader’s thing (i.e. preferred genre or subject matter). Also, for a long novel, such as some of my wife’s, you can make more money than on the royalties for the same book.

In the case of a regular ebook sale, you can be happy with making some money and supplying a reader with an enjoyable few hours (you certainly hope so, anyway).

  • 3 -Running Successful Promotions

Promotions can be giveaways (they can be run for 5 days of every 90 day period) or time-limited price cuts. The former gives you some new readers, as does the latter, along with some money.

If you are lucky, money is not your main reason for writing, so you don’t worry too much about the “missing money”. You are just happy to know someone is (hopefully) enjoying the fruits of your labor. It could well be that the person is on a tight budget, so you feel good about helping out such a person, even in this rather small way. My wife often mentions that.

Every now and again, one of your promotions will go viral. Suddenly you will notice a big uptick in downloads. Over the next few days, that can turn into a flood of downloads, which is rather exciting (e.g. in the 100s, 1000s or more if you are an exceptionally lucky person). You get to see your book on the “Top 100” list for free books, at least in some sub-category. Of course you have to keep your wits about you, and your ego in check. After all, a free promotion is still a free promotion. But it is nice.

There is really no (obvious) rhyme or reason to viral promotions. We have had books go viral, long after they were first published, that have languished up until then. Other times, they have gone viral right away, then languished. Often it isn’t the book that you consider your best writing (stylistically) or your best story (fiction or non-fiction). You think about the cover, or about the title, or about the summary that you wrote for it.

Aha – people like covers that feature water!”

Aha – people like abstract covers with cool fonts!”

Aha – people like short, clever titles!”

Aha – people like long, wordy titles, that telegraph the content of the book!”

Aha – people like short, pithy blurbs and summaries!”

Aha – people like long discursive summaries that explain every chapter!”

But, in reality, these things have a logic all of their own. As a famous Hollywood producer was reported to have said “nobody knows nothing”.

One other thing about promotions worth mentioning, is that they can lead to later sales or later  concurrent KU reads. I have seen this on many occasions. I think of it as a little touch of karma – the universe gives you a small reward for being generous with your books.

  • 4 -Getting Reviews or Reader Ratings

Naturally, every writer likes a nice review or a high rating.

Some people think that most of the reviews are plants or friends, but that isn’t often the case, at least as far as I know. I mean, honestly, who has that many friends? Well, maybe big publishers can get up to these shenanigans, but that’s out-of-scope for most (all?) Indies.

Even a not-so-great review is valuable if it is sincere, and if it is clear that the reader has actually read the book (or at least enough of it to render a valid judgment). For the writer, it can be valuable feedback. For the potential reader, some less-than-stellar reviews will provide reassurance that the reviews are organic and not rigged. And some potential readers may read something like “I don’t like books that feature paranormal events” and think “actually, I love books like that”. You just never know.

Here are a few things that I have learned about reviews and reader ratings:

- you can generally expect one review/rating for every 50 to 100 books sold or downloaded in a promo.  Sometimes more, sometimes less, but this one percentish rule seems to be quite consistent.

- the Goodreads scale and the Amazon scale are a bit different, so bear that in mind when comparing your reviews from these sources.

- writers love to get reviews and reader ratings, so don’t be shy, even if you can’t give a 5-star review in all sincerity.

- a bad review stings for a while, but you get over it.

Social Media

I try to do some blogging or equivalent social media content (as you must know from reading this). It provides an outlet to share ideas, exercise one’s writing muscles and promote one’s “real writing”.

6) Quora

As the beginning of this blog indicates, I post fairly regularly on Quora. This is a social media site run by Google, whereby people ask questions and others answer them. These often tend to be of a somewhat academic nature (informally so), where people can share their knowledge and expertise. Most of my posts are in the area of statistics and data science, since that is my actual profession, or “day job” as writers say, perhaps tongue-in-cheek.

Getting views, comments and upvotes on Quora is a nice lift. It is also nice to think that you are doing some service in the world, by sharing your hard-won knowledge with people who are interested in such things.

In principle, you can make money on Quora, though I doubt that it would amount to much, even with half-a-million views. I don’t mind sharing my knowledge for free. I suspect that’s how most people treat Quora. That said, I might put together some of my best Quora stuff in an ebook at some future time.

It seems like most of the Quora numbers are legit (not bots), though I can’t be sure of that. However, I am suspicious that the big companies (such as Google) are mining Quora for content to feed their voracious Large Language Models (AI like ChatGPT).

7) Blogger

A blogging site gives one a chance to just ramble away on any subject (like I am doing now) and to promote books (like I will do at the end of the blog). Blogger is pretty old now; Substack is more cutting edge. Maybe some day I will try that. But I am used to Blogger, so I suppose that I will stick with it, as long as it’s around.

Like Quora, you can make money posting on Blogger (in theory, i.e. advertising). I suspect that it would be pennies per year, so I don’t see any point in doing so (ok, maybe dimes).

Blogger stats can be rather dubious. I am not sure about recent years, but in the past bots could be a real problem. The 1000 readers that you thought you had last week, might mostly have been the result of an overactive bot or two. Having said all that, it is still nice to see your Blogger views stats go up. You just have to take it with a grain of salt.

Does blogging drive book sales? Maybe marginally, but it is way oversold by social media mavens as a way to sell books (“you must have a blog with rich content, comrade!”). I have occasionally had a blog that had a lot of reads that also ticked up sales of a book that I featured at the end of the blog. But we are talking 1 book for every 1000 blog reads, or ratios like that. So, basically one just blogs for love of writing.

Also like Quora, I suspect the LLMs (large language models) scour blogger and the like for content. So, while you may not be making money for yourself, you might be making money for Google. Hmmmm.

8) Facebook

Facebook is mostly good for family stuff, in my experience. Dogs, cats, children – maybe we should reverse the order.

There are Facebook pages for businesses. We have a Dodecahedron Books Facebook page, but I don’t use it as much as perhaps I should. Unfortunately, in my opinion, the Facebook business page user interface has become such a dog’s breakfast that it is difficult to navigate. Which is too bad, because readers have sometimes contacted me via that route. So, I do try to keep active, at least for their sake, but it is hard.

The regular Facebook user interface is somewhat better than that of the business pages. But, even they have become so plugged-up with “sponsored content” and the like, that it is rather discouraging. But, I check in, when I can, and will try to keep doing so. The fact that you can keep in touch with family, friends and ex-workmates from across the country, is rather charming.

X, formerly known as Twitter

Well, you can blast Twitter posts advertising your books. Maybe they do some good – I’m not sure. If so, the effect is, shall we say, rather limited. But, hope springs eternal.

But X is still good for a laugh, as long as you don’t sink too much time into it, and you don’t take it very seriously.



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As promised above, here are some book plugs:

Kati of Terra Book 1 – Escape from the Drowned Planet

Amazon U.S: http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00811WVXO

Amazon U.K.: http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/B00811WVXO

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B00811WVXO

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B00811WVXO

In saving her small son from alien abductors, a 24-year-old Earth woman, Katie, finds herself abducted instead. She awakens from a drug-induced coma on a spaceship, in a room full of children, both human and alien, and two other women, younger than she is. The young women adapt to the situation as best they can, keeping the youngsters calm and entertained. But, when a drugged alien man wearing a uniform is added to the captive cargo, it becomes clear that this is an intergalactic slave operation.

The slave traders implant their captives with “translation nodes” in order to allow communication among various groups. These are living entities, normally docile, merely enhancing certain brain functions, such as language acquisition. However, Katie discovers that she has accidentally received a very special “granda node”, a long-lived node with its own cantankerous personality, including a fondness for criminality and lethal weaponry. Fortunately for Katie, it also values its freedom. With its help, she escapes on a fringe planet, dragging the peace officer along—also at the granda’s suggestion.

She finds herself on a strange world, with a somewhat deranged personality, quite possibly a killer, in her head, and partnered with a man from an advanced civilization who abhors killing. He is a Federation Peace Officer, captured by the slavers while attempting to bring them to justice. His task is complicated by the fact that he has sworn to avoid the taking of sentient life during the performance of his duties. He can and does, however, make vigorous use of non-lethal weaponry. Since, before leaving the ship, Katie had promised to help her co-captives gain their liberty, she and the alien peace officer find that they have a common cause.

But first they must find their way off the primitive planet and get to the Federated Civilization, avoiding the slavers who have been left on the planet to re-capture them. Their flight is complicated by the fact that the planet has had a global warming catastrophe some centuries back – the locals refer to it as the Drowned World. This has forced the inhabitants to revert to a pre-industrial state of development; however, they are a wily and resourceful people, mostly helpful, but they can also be dangerous.

Kati (to mark her escape, she adopts a slight name change) and Mikal seek a Federation beacon, which had been hidden on this planet ages ago, to aid in situations such as this, (in accord with a longstanding Federation policy for fringe worlds). They must embark on an arduous trek across two continents and an ocean, seeking the temple that holds the beacon. They travel on foot, by cart, by riverboat, by tall sailing ship, and on pack animals, always pursued by the dangerous slavers.

They must rely on their wits, guile, charm and acting abilities to avoid recapture, while their chasers have advanced technology and ruthlessness on their side. Fortunately, they are able to make many friends who help them along the way, and their quest becomes a series of adventures, both frightening and funny, and involving a cast of engaging characters.

To complicate matters, Kati finds herself falling in love with Mikal, the strange, handsome and amusing alien. He seems to be reciprocating, though they both struggle against an untimely romantic entanglement.

Will Kati and Mikal escape from the Drowned Planet? Can they ultimately bring the slavers to justice, as Mikal has sworn to do? Can they free the remaining captives of the slavers, as Kati has promised to do? Read this book and the rest of the series to find out all.

At about 200,000 words (equivalent to a paperback of about 400 pages), the book is an excellent value.



The Sappers' War: 12th Field Company Royal Canadian Engineers, Oct 1943 to Sept 1945



What follows is a review of the history of the 12th Field Company, Royal Canadian Engineers, primarily relating to the time that the company was in the Italian and Northwestern European theatres during World War II. Though the book focuses on the experiences of a particular company of Canadian military engineers, it also discusses some of the wider issues of the second world war and how it affected the people who lived through the era, civilian and military. Among those are my father (a sapper or military engineer) and mother (a war worker in wartime Britain and ultimately a war bride).

Thus, this is meant to be an informal and unofficial history of the company, written by an interested party in an effort to understand what these men went through during this period, and how that experience affected them and other people who lived through the war. The military aspects of the company's history are there (e.g. fighting, building bridges, detecting mines, maintaining routes), as are the cultural factors that influenced them and their times (e.g. the movies that they watched, the drinking they did, the many diseases they faced, their interactions with the Italian, British and other civilians that they lived among, their worries for the future). Some focus on life on the British home front is also given, via the experiences of my mother and her family.

Since many people had family and relations that lived during this time, it is my hope that the account will be of general interest to them, and to any that have a particular interest in this critical interval in history. Also, though the text relates specifically to Canadian sappers, I believe that many of the experiences will be common to the soldiers and loved ones of other nations who lived through the war, especially Americans and those from Britain and the British Commonwealth.

The primary sources of this document are the 12th Field Company War Diaries and related orders, with some material from The History of the Corps of Royal Canadian Engineers, Volume 2 as well as various official histories by the Department of National Defence. Various other published sources are used as well, especially when discussing the wider issues of the war or the army experience (e.g. Churchill’s history of the war) , or conversely when relating very specific episodes of the war (e.g. Popski’s Private Army in late 1944). Personal accounts of my father’s or mother’s stories also augment the narrative. I have tried to fit those in during appropriate time periods, though some stories are more general and have therefore don’t necessarily relate to the time period being discussed. Nonetheless, they do help capture the essence of “being there” during the war years.

The War Diary is a day by day account of the primary activities of a given unit, as recorded by personnel in the headquarters staff of that unit, and signed off by the commander of the unit. As such, it is an official record, though the writers often brought a bit of their own character into the document. Naturally, as a relatively brief document it can’t hope to capture the complexity of the individual stories of 280 or so men, so the family lore generally has no corresponding entry in the War Diary, though there are sometimes tantalizing hints and near-verifications of these personal accounts.

There are a number of other sources for the book, from official histories to popular history books. I include quotations and references from these works (an eclectic mix), as I believe that they also shed light on different aspects of this period of time, and besides that, are just interesting accounts, in and of themselves.


U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B09HSXN6Q2

A Summer Working on the Railroad


What follows is an account of a few weeks one long-ago summer, when I was 19 and was working for the Canadian National Railway (CNR) on a railroad construction gang, in the wilds of north-central British Columbia, Canada.

The journal is in the form of a letter, that was never sent. Decades later, I think it has an interesting historical resonance. At times I come off like a callow youth – I plead guilty as charged. I swore a lot more in those days than I do now, but in places the writing is surprisingly good, at least in my humble opinion. And the story has a compelling narrative arc.

There were a lot of interesting and dramatic events that occurred – a number of industrial accidents being the most serious. There were also some colorful characters on the crew, which resulted in some dramatic and at times amusing conflicts and altercations. I perhaps flatter myself by including myself in that number. Or perhaps I condemn myself – I’m not sure.

So, if you want to be reminded of one of those summer jobs that was kind of life-changing, read on. My story may just kick-start some memories of your own.

The memoir/journal is about 9,000 words, a length that can usually be read in an hour or so. It is priced at 99 cents U.S. (equivalent in other currencies) and is free on Kindle Unlimited. Periodically, it will be offered as a free promotion.

U.S.: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CN661P8Z

UK: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B0CN661P8Z

India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Germany: https://www.amazon.de/dp/B0CN661P8Z

France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B0CN661P8Z

Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B0CN661P8Z



Three Love Stories


Here are three stories, all dealing with the theme of romantic love. They encompass the feelings we all recognize from our experiences of love: lust and desire, jealousy and betrayal, confusion and certainty, forgiveness and reconciliation, loss and rebirth. They even suggest that love might get a little help from those mysterious realms beyond our normal, everyday life. Love is, after all, one of the most magical of all transformations that we mortals can undergo.

Three Love Stories
Amazon U.S.:
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon U.K.: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Germany:

https://www.amazon.de/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon France: https://www.amazon.fr/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Canada: https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Australia: https://www.amazon.com.au/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Italy: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Spain: https://www.amazon.es/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Netherlands: https://www.amazon.nl/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Japan: https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Brazil: https://www.amazon.com.br/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon Mexico: https://www.amazon.com.mx/dp/B01BLVSZ2G

Amazon India: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B01BLVSZ2G


It should be noted that these three stories have been previously published, but we wanted to bundle them together, for a number of reasons.

  • Firstly, they are thematically connected - they all concern the joys, pains and triumphs of romantic love.

  • Secondly, the first two stories are connected by plot and character - Love at the Lake: Part 2 (published separately as “A Mid-Summer Morning’s Dream at the Lake”) tells the story of what happens later to the characters embroiled in the jealousy and betrayal of Love at the Lake: Part 1. Characters can sometimes take on a life of their own, and insist that the writer tell their whole story - that’s just what happened here. Love and Rebirth on the Prairie follows different characters, but they too are searching for love within the complexities of family drama with a history of (possible) betrayal.

  • And finally, this bundling gives us a way to package the stories in a more economical and convenient form for our valued readers - three stories for one low price. In the future, we hope to add even more to this collection of love stories!