Race Track Diary, Entry Number
Thirty-Five
35 – Billy Budd’s (June 13, 2026)
Introduction
This blog and some following blogs are sections from an informal diary of “visits to the race-track” at a particular time and place, by a person who has followed the races with varying levels of participation over a long period. These relate primarily to some visits to the track and/or off-track betting venues in the 2025 period and onward. They contain observations about the activity, both specific and general. Although these remarks are personal, they also reflect general cultural and historical trends, as they have impacted horse-racing, wagering and culture in general.
The setting is Edmonton, Alberta, Canada (population of about one million plus). However, I imagine that the observations would apply to many places in the world, as they are a reflection of how changing trends in technology, globalization and culture in general have affected this ancient and honourable activity of horse-racing.
For now, I will use what I call “polished point-form” for the narrative.
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35 – Billy Budd’s (June 13, 2026)
I was under the spell of a minor virus for much of the week, but had mostly recovered by Saturday. Given the big races at Woodbine/Mohawk, I decided to gather up my energies and observe the spectacle, which would include throwing a few coins on the races. However, I decided it would be best to shorten the day and skip the thoroughbreds. So, it was just the Harnnies today.
This Saturday was National Golf Cart Day (you can look it up). I prefer walking the course when I golf, but it has been a while, so I might just appreciate a golf cart by now. Mostly I just go to the driving range (indoor place in the winter) with my son and hit a bucket of balls. It is a good father-son thing. So, anyway Happy National Golf Cart Day!
All kidding aside, this was a pretty big day at the Woodbine/Mohawk Harness Races. There were a number of high-purse races on the card, including a Million-Dollar race. There was also a 240K race, a 65K race, a 215K race, a 320K race, a 100K race, and a 420K race. Who knew that the bucket-pullers had so much money to throw around?
By the time the harness races started, in late afternoon, most of the racing crowd had withered away. It was rather sparse in the bar and games areas as well. This seemed odd, as the soccer World Cup was beginning, featuring some teams that one might assume would draw some interest (e.g. Brazil and Scotland). But, apparently not.
So, off to the horses and sulkies then:
For Race #1, we arrived a bit too late for any betting. That was just as well, since my system didn’t pick any of the WPS horses.
During Race #2, I was distracted by the World Cup soccer game, so I was shut out. That’s too bad, since I noted on my cheatsheet “would have bet #4” (based on a big odds drop from morning line to race time), which did come in first. So it goes.
For Race #3, I bet the #5 horse to place, which did win the race at odds of $7 per $2 bet. The horse had a nice stretch run. However the Place pool was seriously shorted, down to $2.90, due to a heavy favourite taking second place. Well, I will consider it my beer bet for the day. Craig picked up the triactor, though that was at a comically short price as well.
In Race #4 I took a flyer on the #6 horse, given its long odds and a usually reliable post. But it came in well back, so chock it up as a loss.
I was shut out again, for Race #5, perhaps distracted by some nearby fellows who were catching up on their respective news, after not seeing each other for quite a while. Their chatting saved me some money, as my preferred horse finished out of the money.
In Race #6, the 5 horse was going off at huge odds, and was favoured by my system. I bet it to show, figured that its better than 4 to 1 odds should still pay off ok for show. But, no dice, as it only paid $2.50 per $2 bet. That’s kind of annoying. Once more, Craig picked up the Tri, but it didn’t pay much either.
Race #7 was a high-priced contest, with a $215K purse at stake. It was also a Trot, rather than a Pace. That meant over half the field were from other tracks, in for the big payday.
Sometimes these are call invaders, some time shippers. The former reminds me of an old TV show, “The Invaders, a Quinn-Martin”. I remembered it vaguely as quite scary when I was a kid, and found it held up quite well after getting the DVDs as an adult. The latter reminds me of a couple of summer jobs during my undergrad years, shipping a receiving windows and doors. Good times!
Given those factors, I skipped the race. It turned out that a 45 to 1 horse won, which my system didn’t select. However, I note that its average time to finish, in races where it finished in the top 3, was ranked first in this field. So, it wasn’t entirely unpickable.
Race #8 was much the same as #7. Its purse was $320K, the “Roses are Red” final race, for Fillies and Mares. Thus, it also brought in a lot of horses come-from-away, as they might say in the Maritime provinces. Given those facts, I decided to skip this one too.
Race #9 also had a pretty good purse, at $100K. I decided it was time to make a bet, so I put some show money on the #5 horse, generally a reliable post and going off at good odds. It looked good for a while, but faltered in the stretch, to come in fourth, just missing show. So it goes.
The 10th Race was also a high-purse race, at $420K, so that brought in plenty of invaders. The horses attracting most of the money were from that category. I liked the odds on the 6 horse, as well as the post and the driver, so I put some show money on it. Once more, the 10 to 1 win odds listed for the horse dwindled to only $2.60 to show on a $2 bet. So, I picked up another small profit.
The 11th Race was the big $1million purse. Apparently the race is called The Pepsi North America Cup, for 3 year-olds. The super-horse, Beau Jangles was in this race. It had recently lost a bit of its lustre, coming in third during its last outing. It was still the favourite, but much less so than it had been in recent outings. For this race it was going off at 7 to 10 odds (i.e. somewhat below even), whereas it had been bet down to 1 to 10 in these earlier contests. Could it come back strong and take the winner’s share of the million dollar purse?
Unfortunately, it did not win, coming in third. In this race it ran to the front quite early on, but couldn’t hold the lead in the stretch. In previous races, it tended to come on like a force of nature late in the race to win in the stretch. I had bet it to win, since anything less was unlikely to pay more than a token profit.
The winner was the same horse as had beaten it in the previous race, Odds on Mr Mamba. It had echoes of what had happened in the Triple Crown, with the talked-about horse losing to the same less-talked-about horse, in two of the three races.
It was getting dark in Toronto, as the 12th Race prepared to go off.
I had one of my hunches, “the six is due”. That post had been very reliable earlier, and for many races. On this day, it had only managed a place and show. Given those facts, as well as decent odds in the morning line, I bet it to win.
It did win, but by the time the race was run, its odds had slipped from 4 to 1 to under even money. However, my hunch was strong enough that I had stepped up my usual bet, so that helped. It’s nice when that happens, but just luck I suppose.
I skipped the 13th Race, having not handicapped it. Besides, 12 races is enough!
And here are a few random observations of the day:
As noted above, while we were betting in the horse-racing area of the pub, a couple of fellows sat down. They sort of watched the races, but mostly chatted. I don’t think they did any betting.
They seemed to be a couple of tradesmen, maybe foremen by this point in their careers, as they talked a lot about work, jobs, hiring, other people on the job, things like that. Having put in many decades as an electrician, Craig finds that kind of talk a bit tedious, especially when he is focusing on the horses. I don’t care one way of another, as long as people keep it down and not be too distracting. However, their talk did distract me enough to miss betting on a race I would have lost, so there’s that.
One fellow noted our presence and asked whether we had given his friend any tips. He said we must be stats guys, since we were pouring over papers and such. He was right about that – I had worked in statistical data analysis for decades (we call it “data science” now, because that sounds cooler, I guess). This horse-racing gig is an extension of that.
Some other guy talked about how the Mexican mafia was fixing races in San Diego (Del Mar Racetrack). I suppose there could be a bit of that. We horse players tend to be a bit cynical and conspiratorial, or at least talk that way.
People got pretty excited about a 43 to 1 winner at the Meadowlands.
One guy chatted with us as the races ended. He asked how were were doing. I guess he had noticed all the papers and calculators too. Maybe we are getting a reputation. I said “breaking even, mostly”.
Which brings me to summing up the day, in terms of money. I calculate that I made a 0.3% profit, so breaking even is a good way to put it.
On the Road with Bronco Billy
Sit back and go on a ten day trucking trip in a big rig, through western North America, from Alberta to Texas, and back again. Explore the countryside, learn some trucking lingo, and observe the shifting cultural norms across this great continent.
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What follows is an account of a ten day journey through western North America during a working trip, delivering lumber from Edmonton Alberta to Dallas Texas, and returning with oilfield equipment. The writer had the opportunity to accompany a friend who is a professional truck driver, which he eagerly accepted. He works as a statistician for the University of Alberta, and is therefore is generally confined to desk, chair, and computer. The chance to see the world from the cab of a truck, and be immersed in the truck driving culture was intriguing. In early May 1997 they hit the road.
Some time has
passed since this journal was written and many things have changed
since the late 1990’s. That renders the journey as not just a
geographical one, but also a historical account, which I think only
increases its interest.
We were fortunate to have an
eventful trip - a mechanical breakdown, a near miss from a tornado,
and a large-scale flood were among these events. But even without
these turns of fate, the drama of the landscape, the close-up view of
the trucking lifestyle, and the opportunity to observe the cultural
habits of a wide swath of western North America would have been
sufficient to fill up an interesting journal.
The
travelogue is about 20,000 words, about 60 to 90 minutes of reading,
at typical reading speeds.
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And here’s an account of some road trips in south-western Alberta:
A Selection of Back-Road Trips Around
Southwest Alberta
There are two main aspects to a road trip: the journey and the destination. Sometimes the trip is all about the journey, sometimes it’s all about the destination. Usually it is a little of both.
This collection of back-roads journeys feature a little bit of both of these aspects. Some accounts are more about the ‘journey’, such as a road trip on scenic Highway 22. Others are more about the ‘destination’, such as the show-jumping at Spruce Meadows. I hope you will enjoy reading some of these accounts and maybe give them a spin for yourself.
Southwest 1 – A Road Trip on Scenic Highway 22
Southwest 2 – The Equestrian Competitions at Spruce Meadows (Calgary)
Southwest 3 – The Bar U Ranch, south of Long View
Southwest 4 – Kananaskis Country
Southwest 5 – Blackfoot Crossing
Southwest 6 – Back-roads, from the Prairies to the Foothills: Brazeau Dam Trip
Southwest 7 – A Back-roads Trip to Hinton and the Forestry Trunk Roads
The reader may wonder “what about the Ice-fields Parkway?” or “where is a visit to Banff?” I would answer, that these famous destinations are covered very nicely by other books. This account is meant to focus on some less travelled areas, thus the “back-roads” descriptor.
I should note that the other three quadrants of Alberta also have a lot of interesting back-roads journeys, but those are material for some other books which will be published in due time.
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The Zoo Hypothesis
We
present a story giving a possible scenario for the so-called Zoo
Hypothesis, an explanation known in Star Trek lore as the Prime
Directive. It’s an explanation sometimes given to account for a
mystery in the Search for Intelligent Life, known as The Great
Silence, or Fermi’s Paradox.
Basically, Enrico Fermi argued (quite convincingly, to many observers), that there had been ample time for an alien intelligence to colonize the galaxy since its formation, so where are they? The Zoo Hypotheses says that they are out there, but have cordoned off the Earth from contact, until we are sufficiently evolved or culturally advanced to handle the impact of alien contact.
This story takes a humorous tongue in cheek approach to that explanation. It also features dogs and sly references to Star Trek. Talk about man’s Best Friend.
It is only 99 cents U.S., equivalent price in other currencies. It is also available on Kindle Unlimited and is sometimes on a free promotion.
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